Sun 04 Oct 2009

Is Your Bank Solvent?

      Posted by Frank, 4:50 am et  

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Think the financial crisis is over?

Maybe you should think again.

Money and Markets, Washington, DC, May 5, 2009 — At least 15 of the nation’s 19 banks undergoing federal stress tests this week would fail a stricter test based on more objective economic assumptions and stricter evaluation procedures, according to an analysis released today at the National Press Club by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D., president of Weiss Research, Inc.

“The stress tests results are akin to ratings,” declared Weiss, formerly the president of a national rating agency. “But no objective rating agency would stand behind them. The exams are too easy; the banks get to take them home with cheat sheets; and if they don’t like their final grade, they can appeal for a better one. If, despite all this, some large institutions still come up short on capital, it will imply far deeper troubles than the Treasury or the Fed dare admit.”

Based on data provided by TheStreet.com Ratings, by the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), and in first quarter financial statements, Weiss offers the following evaluations for the 19 institutions undergoing federal stress tests:

Institutions Subjected to Stress Tests
[With Dr. Weiss' evaluation from a stricter model.]

Institution
 Assets ($Bil.)
Evaluation
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.
2,079
Risk of failure
Citigroup
1,823
Risk of failure
Wells Fargo & Co.
1,286
Risk of failure
Goldman Sachs Group
885
Risk of failure
GMAC LLC
189
Risk of failure
SunTrust Banks Inc.
179
Risk of failure
Fifth Third Bancorp
119
Risk of failure
Bank of America Corp.
2,322
Borderline
Morgan Stanley
659
Borderline
PNC Financial Services Group
286
Borderline
US Bancorp
 264
Borderline
BB&T Corp.
143
Borderline
Regions Financial Corp.
142
Borderline
American Express Co.
121
Borderline
Keycorp
98
Borderline
MetLife
502
Adequate capital
Bank of NY Mellon Corp.
203
Adequate capital
Capital One Financial Corp
177
Adequate capital
State Street Corp.
142
Adequate capital


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